LaLiga10 October 2026, 14:15 UTC

Deportivo Alaves1:2Full timeAtletico Madrid

1–1 0–1

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.

21%−3

Deportivo Alaves

26%

Draw

53%+3

Atletico Madrid

Deportivo Alaves v Atletico Madrid, LaLiga, played on 10 October 2026. It finished Deportivo Alaves 1–2 Atletico Madrid. At kick-off the market had Atletico Madrid as favourite at 1.75 (about 53% once the margin is removed). That price shortened from 1.87 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds

2.10

▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Match resultmargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Deportivo Alaves	3.85	4.39	4.39	3.85	▲ +13.9%	22.8%-3.2 pp
Draw	3.56	3.61	3.75	3.56	▲ +1.4%	27.7%-0.4 pp
Atletico Madrid✓	1.87	1.75	1.87	1.72	▼ -6.3%	57.0%+3.6 pp

Total goalsLine 2.5margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Over✓	1.81	1.91	1.91	1.77	▲ +5.4%	52.3%-2.8 pp
Under	1.91	1.81	1.96	1.81	▼ -5.1%	55.2%+2.8 pp

Both teams to scoremargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Yes✓	1.74	1.84	1.84	1.71	▲ +5.3%	54.5%-2.9 pp
No	1.99	1.89	2.04	1.89	▼ -5.4%	53.0%+2.9 pp

Asian handicapLine 0.75margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Deportivo Alaves +0.75	1.63	1.73	1.76	1.63	▲ +6.1%	57.8%-3.5 pp
Atletico Madrid -0.75	2.17	2.01	2.17	1.97	▼ -7.1%	49.7%+3.5 pp

Double chance

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Home or Draw	1.85	1.97	2.02	1.81	▲ +6.4%	50.8%-3.3 pp
Home or Away✓	1.26	1.26	1.26	1.23	▲ +0.1%	79.4%
Draw or Away✓	1.23	1.18	1.23	1.14	▼ -4.0%	84.7%+3.4 pp

Draw no betmargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Deportivo Alaves	2.73	2.73	2.73	2.73	–	36.7%
Atletico Madrid✓	1.41	1.41	1.41	1.41	–	70.8%

Timeline

32'⚽goal0:1
44'▮yellow card0:1
46'▮yellow card0:1
50'⚽goal1:1
86'⚽goal1:2
91'▮yellow card1:2
96'▮red card1:2

Match statistics

1Red cards0
0Medical treatment received on the pitch1
0Player:ab:77504:cards0
0To hit the woodwork0
0Second yellow cards0

Odds movement

Market summary

In the match result market, Atletico Madrid opened at 1.87 and closed 1.75. The implied probability increased from 53.4% to 57%. Deportivo Alaves moved from 3.85 to 4.39 (26% → 22.8%). The total corners (1st half) line was 4.5; the actual total was 2, settling under.

Statistical markets vs actual result

Market	Line	Over opening / closing	Under opening / closing	Actual	Result
Total cards (1st half)	1.5	2.04 / 2.04	1.71 / 1.71	–	–
Total offsides (1st half)	1.5	1.87 / 1.76	1.85 / 1.97	–	–
Total shots on target (1st half)	3.5	1.71 / 1.71	2.04 / 2.04	–	–
Total corners (1st half)	4.5	1.81 / 1.95	1.91 / 1.78	2	Under
Total goal kicks (1st half)	7.5	1.91 / 1.91	1.81 / 1.81	–	–
Total fouls (1st half)	12.5	2.00 / 2.00	1.74 / 1.74	–	–
Total throw-ins (1st half)	18.5	1.78 / 1.78	1.95 / 1.95	–	–
Total offsides	3.5	1.88 / 1.89	1.84 / 1.83	–	–
Total cards	4.5	2.04 / 2.04	1.71 / 1.71	1	Under
Total shots on target	8.5	1.79 / 1.86	1.94 / 1.86	–	–
Total corners	9.5	1.76 / 1.93	1.97 / 1.79	–	–
Total goal kicks	15.5	1.76 / 1.76	1.97 / 1.97	–	–
Total shots	25.5(27.5)	1.80 / 1.86	1.93 / 1.86	–	–
Total fouls	25.5	1.81 / 1.81	1.91 / 1.91	–	–
Total throw-ins	37.5	1.91 / 1.91	1.81 / 1.81	–	–

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