Primera Federacion11 October 2026, 16:45 UTC

CF Rayo Majadahonda0:1Full timeReal Murcia CF

0–1 0–0

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.

36%+2

CF Rayo Majadahonda

31%

Draw

33%−1

Real Murcia CF

CF Rayo Majadahonda v Real Murcia CF, Primera Federacion, played on 11 October 2026. It finished CF Rayo Majadahonda 0–1 Real Murcia CF. At kick-off the market had CF Rayo Majadahonda as favourite at 2.59 (about 36% once the margin is removed). That price shortened from 2.74 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds

2.10

▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Match resultmargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
CF Rayo Majadahonda	2.74	2.59	2.78	2.52	▼ -5.4%	38.6%+2.1 pp
Draw	2.97	3.01	3.05	2.97	▲ +1.4%	33.2%-0.5 pp
Real Murcia CF✓	2.68	2.80	2.88	2.63	▲ +4.5%	35.7%-1.6 pp

Total goalsLine 2Opening 2.5 → 2margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Over	1.74	1.79	1.79	1.74	▲ +3.3%	55.8%-1.9 pp
Under✓	2.01	1.93	2.01	1.93	▼ -3.6%	51.7%+1.9 pp

Both teams to scoremargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Yes	1.92	1.95	1.99	1.92	▲ +1.1%	51.4%-0.6 pp
No✓	1.80	1.78	1.80	1.75	▼ -1.0%	56.1%+0.6 pp

Asian handicapLine 0margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
CF Rayo Majadahonda 0	1.88	1.81	1.91	1.76	▼ -3.7%	55.2%+2.0 pp
Real Murcia CF 0✓	1.84	1.91	1.97	1.81	▲ +3.9%	52.3%-2.0 pp

Double chance

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Home or Draw	1.42	1.40	1.45	1.38	▼ -1.8%	71.6%+1.3 pp
Home or Away✓	1.35	1.34	1.35	1.34	▼ -0.5%	74.3%+0.4 pp
Draw or Away✓	1.41	1.45	1.47	1.40	▲ +2.5%	69.1%-1.7 pp

Draw no betmargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
CF Rayo Majadahonda	1.95	1.95	1.95	1.95	–	51.3%
Real Murcia CF✓	1.78	1.78	1.78	1.78	–	56.2%

Timeline

6'⚽goal0:1

Match statistics

7Corners3
1Red cards0

Odds movement

Market summary

In the match result market, CF Rayo Majadahonda opened at 2.74 and closed 2.59. The implied probability increased from 36.5% to 38.6%.

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