Segunda Division RFEF4 October 2026, 10:00 UTC

Atletico Baleares2:1Full timePoblense

0–0 2–1

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.

56%+4

Atletico Baleares

27%−1

Draw

17%−3

Poblense

Atletico Baleares v Poblense, Segunda Division RFEF, played on 4 October 2026. It finished Atletico Baleares 2–1 Poblense. At kick-off the market had Atletico Baleares as favourite at 1.65 (about 56% once the margin is removed). That price shortened from 1.78 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds

2.10

▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Match resultmargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Atletico Baleares✓	1.78	1.65	1.78	1.65	▼ -7.5%	60.6%+4.5 pp
Draw	3.35	3.46	3.46	3.31	▲ +3.1%	28.9%-0.9 pp
Poblense	4.64	5.57	5.57	4.64	▲ +20.1%	18.0%-3.6 pp

Total goalsLine 2Opening 2.5 → 2margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Over✓	1.71	1.66	1.71	1.66	▼ -3.0%	60.2%+1.8 pp
Under	2.04	2.11	2.11	2.04	▲ +3.8%	47.3%-1.8 pp

Both teams to scoremargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Yes✓	2.16	2.13	2.17	2.13	▼ -1.1%	46.9%+0.5 pp
No	1.64	1.65	1.65	1.63	▲ +0.9%	60.6%-0.6 pp

Asian handicapLine -1margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Atletico Baleares -1	2.65	2.31	2.65	2.31	▼ -12.9%	43.3%+5.6 pp
Poblense +1	1.43	1.56	1.56	1.43	▲ +8.7%	64.2%-5.6 pp

Double chance

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Home or Draw✓	1.16	1.12	1.16	1.12	▼ -3.5%	89.4%+3.1 pp
Home or Away✓	1.29	1.27	1.29	1.27	▼ -1.5%	78.5%+1.1 pp
Draw or Away	1.95	2.12	2.12	1.95	▲ +9.2%	47.1%-4.3 pp

Timeline

78'⚽goal1:0
84'⚽goal2:0
91'⚽goal2:1

Match statistics

0Red cards1
1Penalty score0

Odds movement

Market summary

In the match result market, Atletico Baleares opened at 1.78 and closed 1.65. The implied probability increased from 56.1% to 60.6%. Poblense moved from 4.64 to 5.57 (21.6% → 18%).

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