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Premier League

Ntugasaze FC1:0Full timeMbarara FC

1–0 0–0

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.
30%+10
Ntugasaze FC
29%+1
Draw
41%−11
Mbarara FC

Ntugasaze FC v Mbarara FC, Premier League, played on 7 October 2026. It finished Ntugasaze FC 1–0 Mbarara FC. At kick-off the market had Mbarara FC as favourite at 2.26 (about 41% once the margin is removed). That price drifted from 1.79 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds
1
2.10
▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Match resultmargin 7.5%
SelectionOpeningClosingMovement
Ntugasaze FC✓4.613.08▼ -33.1%
Draw3.333.24▼ -2.7%
Mbarara FC1.792.26▲ +26.2%
Total goalsLine 2.5margin 7.5%
SelectionOpeningClosingMovement
Over2.212.11▼ -4.5%
Under✓1.601.66▲ +3.5%
Asian handicapLine 0margin 7.5%
SelectionOpeningClosingMovement
Ntugasaze FC 0✓2.312.16▼ -6.7%
Mbarara FC 01.561.64▲ +5.0%
Double chance
SelectionOpeningClosingMovement
Home or Draw✓1.941.57▼ -18.9%
Home or Away✓1.291.29▲ +0.5%
Draw or Away1.171.35▲ +15.6%

Timeline

  1. 28'⚽goal1:0
  2. 95'▮red card1:0

Match statistics

  • 3Corners6
  • 0Red cards1
  • 0Dangerous attacks0
  • 0Second yellow cards0

Odds movement

Market summary

In the match result market, Mbarara FC opened at 1.79 and closed 2.26. The implied probability decreased from 55.8% to 44.2%. Ntugasaze FC moved from 4.61 to 3.08 (21.7% → 32.4%).

Markets (4)

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