Primera Division Reserve5 October 2026, 18:00 UTC

Atletico Progreso (r)18:005 October 2026Liverpool Montevideo (r)

How the market prices it now. Ticks mark the opening split.

39%+5

Atletico Progreso (r)

27%+1

Draw

34%−6

Liverpool Montevideo (r)

Atletico Progreso (r) v Liverpool Montevideo (r) odds for the Primera Division Reserve match on 5 October 2026. The market currently makes Atletico Progreso (r) the favourite at 2.36 (about 39% once the margin is removed). That price shortened from 2.70 at opening. Below: current odds next to the opening price, the price movement, recent form and head-to-head record.

How to read these odds

2.10

▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Main odds

Match resultmargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Current	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Atletico Progreso (r)	2.70	2.36	2.70	2.36	▼ -12.4%	42.4%+5.3 pp
Draw	3.63	3.44	3.63	3.44	▼ -5.2%	29.1%+1.5 pp
Liverpool Montevideo (r)	2.33	2.77	2.77	2.33	▲ +18.8%	36.1%-6.8 pp

Total goalsLine 2.5margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Current	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Over	1.74	1.71	1.74	1.69	▼ -1.3%	58.4%+0.7 pp
Under	2.01	2.04	2.06	2.01	▲ +1.5%	49.1%-0.7 pp

Both teams to scoremargin 6.0%

Selection	Opening	Current	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Yes	1.67	1.67	1.67	1.67	–	59.8%
No	2.16	2.16	2.16	2.16	–	46.2%

Asian handicapLine 0margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Current	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Atletico Progreso (r) 0	2.01	1.76	2.01	1.76	▼ -12.3%	56.7%+7.0 pp
Liverpool Montevideo (r) 0	1.73	1.97	1.97	1.73	▲ +13.7%	50.8%-7.0 pp

Double chance

Selection	Opening	Current	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Home or Draw	1.55	1.40	1.55	1.40	▼ -9.8%	71.4%+7.0 pp
Home or Away	1.24	1.27	1.27	1.24	▲ +2.7%	78.4%-2.1 pp
Draw or Away	1.43	1.53	1.53	1.43	▲ +7.5%	65.1%-4.9 pp

Odds movement

Market summary

In the match result market, Liverpool Montevideo (r) opened at 2.33 and is now 2.77. The implied probability decreased from 42.9% to 36.1%. Atletico Progreso (r) moved from 2.70 to 2.36 (37.1% → 42.4%).

Recent form