Primera Division Reserve29 September 2026, 13:00 UTC

Liverpool Montevideo1:0Full timeMontevideo Wanderers

1–0 0–0

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.

35%+4

Liverpool Montevideo

27%

Draw

38%−4

Montevideo Wanderers

Liverpool Montevideo v Montevideo Wanderers, Primera Division Reserve, played on 29 September 2026. It finished Liverpool Montevideo 1–0 Montevideo Wanderers. At kick-off the market had Montevideo Wanderers as favourite at 2.43 (about 38% once the margin is removed). That price drifted from 2.23 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds

2.10

▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Match resultmargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Liverpool Montevideo✓	3.00	2.69	3.66	2.69	▼ -10.3%	37.1%+3.8 pp
Draw	3.42	3.42	3.61	3.36	▼ -0.1%	29.3%
Montevideo Wanderers	2.23	2.43	2.43	1.91	▲ +9.3%	41.1%-3.8 pp

Total goalsLine 2.5margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Over	1.69	1.71	1.81	1.69	▲ +1.5%	58.4%-0.9 pp
Under✓	2.07	2.04	2.07	1.91	▼ -1.8%	49.1%+0.9 pp

Both teams to scoremargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Yes	1.66	1.58	1.66	1.58	▼ -4.9%	63.3%+3.1 pp
No✓	2.11	2.26	2.26	2.11	▲ +7.0%	44.2%-3.1 pp

Asian handicapLine 0margin 8.1%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Liverpool Montevideo 0✓	2.15	1.99	2.15	1.99	▼ -7.5%	50.3%+3.8 pp
Montevideo Wanderers 0	1.64	1.73	1.73	1.64	▲ +5.5%	57.8%-3.2 pp

Double chance

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Home or Draw✓	1.59	1.49	1.82	1.49	▼ -6.4%	67.0%+4.3 pp
Home or Away✓	1.28	1.29	1.30	1.25	▲ +0.7%	77.7%-0.6 pp
Draw or Away	1.35	1.42	1.42	1.25	▲ +5.3%	70.4%-3.7 pp

Timeline

45'⚽goal1:0

Match statistics

1R0
0Second yellow cards0

Odds movement

Market summary

In the match result market, Liverpool Montevideo opened at 3.00 and closed 2.69. The implied probability increased from 33.3% to 37.1%. Montevideo Wanderers moved from 2.23 to 2.43 (44.9% → 41.1%).

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