Segunda B Nacional4 October 2026, 23:30 UTC

Sportivo Bella Italia3:3Full timeMar de Fondo FC

1–1 2–2

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.

61%+4

Sportivo Bella Italia

22%−2

Draw

17%−2

Mar de Fondo FC

Sportivo Bella Italia v Mar de Fondo FC, Segunda B Nacional, played on 4 October 2026. It finished Sportivo Bella Italia 3–3 Mar de Fondo FC. At kick-off the market had Sportivo Bella Italia as favourite at 1.53 (about 61% once the margin is removed). That price shortened from 1.64 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds

2.10

▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Match resultmargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Sportivo Bella Italia	1.64	1.53	1.64	1.53	▼ -6.5%	65.4%+4.2 pp
Draw✓	3.78	4.19	4.19	3.78	▲ +10.7%	23.9%-2.5 pp
Mar de Fondo FC	5.01	5.48	5.48	5.01	▲ +9.3%	18.3%-1.7 pp

Total goalsLine 2.5margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Over✓	2.00	1.81	2.00	1.81	▼ -9.5%	55.2%+5.2 pp
Under	1.74	1.91	1.91	1.74	▲ +10.0%	52.3%-5.2 pp

Asian handicapLine -1margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Sportivo Bella Italia -1	1.86	1.86	1.86	1.86	–	53.8%
Mar de Fondo FC +1✓	1.86	1.86	1.86	1.86	–	53.8%

Double chance

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Home or Draw✓	1.14	1.12	1.14	1.12	▼ -2.1%	89.5%+1.9 pp
Home or Away	1.23	1.20	1.23	1.20	▼ -2.8%	83.4%+2.3 pp
Draw or Away✓	2.16	2.38	2.38	2.16	▲ +10.1%	42.1%-4.2 pp

Timeline

10'⚽goal0:1
45'▮red card1:1
45'⚽goal1:2
57'⚽goal2:2
61'⚽goal2:3
87'⚽goal3:3

Match statistics

1Red cards0
0Second yellow cards0

Odds movement

Market summary

In the match result market, Sportivo Bella Italia opened at 1.64 and closed 1.53. The implied probability increased from 61.1% to 65.4%. Draw moved from 3.78 to 4.19 (26.4% → 23.9%).

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