MLS11 October 2026, 23:00 UTC

Saint Louis City SC6:2Full timeLos Angeles Galaxy

5–1 1–1

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.

64%+3

Saint Louis City SC

19%−2

Draw

16%−1

Los Angeles Galaxy

Saint Louis City SC v Los Angeles Galaxy, MLS, played on 11 October 2026. It finished Saint Louis City SC 6–2 Los Angeles Galaxy. At kick-off the market had Saint Louis City SC as favourite at 1.44 (about 64% once the margin is removed). That price shortened from 1.52 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds

2.10

▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Match resultmargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Saint Louis City SC✓	1.52	1.44	1.61	1.44	▼ -5.3%	69.3%+3.7 pp
Draw	4.33	4.78	4.89	4.33	▲ +10.4%	20.9%-2.2 pp
Los Angeles Galaxy	5.31	5.78	5.78	4.27	▲ +8.7%	17.3%-1.5 pp

Total goalsLine 3.5margin 7.7%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Over✓	1.91	1.91	1.97	1.91	▼ -0.1%	52.3%
Under	1.81	1.81	1.81	1.77	▼ -0.2%	55.3%+0.1 pp

Both teams to scoremargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Yes✓	1.46	1.53	1.54	1.44	▲ +4.7%	65.3%-3.1 pp
No	2.56	2.37	2.63	2.34	▼ -7.3%	42.2%+3.1 pp

Asian handicapLine -1margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Saint Louis City SC -1✓	1.79	1.70	1.97	1.70	▼ -4.8%	58.7%+2.8 pp
Los Angeles Galaxy +1	1.94	2.05	2.05	1.77	▲ +5.8%	48.8%-2.8 pp

Double chance

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Home or Draw✓	1.13	1.11	1.19	1.10	▼ -2.0%	90.3%+1.8 pp
Home or Away✓	1.19	1.16	1.19	1.15	▼ -2.9%	86.5%+2.5 pp
Draw or Away	2.35	2.62	2.63	2.09	▲ +11.4%	38.2%-4.3 pp

Timeline

1'⚽goal1:0
6'⚽goal2:0
20'⚽goal3:0
31'⚽goal3:1
38'▮yellow card3:1
44'⚽goal4:1
51'⚽goal5:1
52'⚽goal6:1
62'▮yellow card6:1
67'▮yellow card6:1
74'▮yellow card6:2

Match statistics

0Corners0
0Yellow cards0
36Dangerous attacks33
0Player:ab:88808:red cards0
0Second yellow cards0

Odds movement

Market summary

In the match result market, Saint Louis City SC opened at 1.52 and closed 1.44. The implied probability increased from 65.6% to 69.3%. Draw moved from 4.33 to 4.78 (23.1% → 20.9%). The total cards (1st half) line was 1.5; the actual total was 1, settling under.

Statistical markets vs actual result

Market	Line	Over opening / closing	Under opening / closing	Actual	Result
Total cards (1st half)	1.5	2.00 / 2.01	1.74 / 1.73	1	Under
Total corners (1st half)	4.5	1.75 / 1.66	1.98 / 2.11	0	Under
Total cards	4.5	1.88 / 1.97	1.84 / 1.76	0	Under
Total corners	10.5	2.02 / 2.00	1.73 / 1.74	0	Under

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