USL Championship17 October 2026, 23:00 UTC

Louisville City FC4:1Full timeIndy Eleven

3–0 1–1

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.

58%+2

Louisville City FC

23%

Draw

20%−2

Indy Eleven

Louisville City FC v Indy Eleven, USL Championship, played on 17 October 2026. It finished Louisville City FC 4–1 Indy Eleven. At kick-off the market had Louisville City FC as favourite at 1.62 (about 58% once the margin is removed). That price shortened from 1.68 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds

2.10

▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Match resultmargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Louisville City FC✓	1.68	1.62	1.74	1.60	▼ -4.0%	61.9%+2.5 pp
Draw	4.03	4.12	4.14	3.94	▲ +2.1%	24.3%-0.5 pp
Indy Eleven	4.29	4.69	4.76	4.04	▲ +9.4%	21.3%-2.0 pp

Total goalsLine 3Opening 2.5 → 3margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Over✓	1.89	1.89	1.89	1.89	–	52.9%
Under	1.83	1.83	1.83	1.83	–	54.6%

Both teams to scoremargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Yes✓	1.58	1.61	1.61	1.58	▲ +1.5%	62.2%-0.9 pp
No	2.25	2.21	2.26	2.21	▼ -2.0%	45.3%+0.9 pp

Asian handicapLine -0.75Opening -1 → -0.75margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Louisville City FC -0.75✓	1.82	1.81	1.91	1.81	▼ -0.4%	55.2%+0.2 pp
Indy Eleven +0.75	1.89	1.91	1.91	1.81	▲ +1.1%	52.3%-0.6 pp

Double chance

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Home or Draw✓	1.20	1.15	1.21	1.15	▼ -3.6%	86.7%+3.1 pp
Home or Away✓	1.21	1.20	1.22	1.20	▼ -0.2%	83.1%+0.1 pp
Draw or Away	2.06	2.21	2.22	2.01	▲ +7.3%	45.2%-3.3 pp

Draw no betmargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Louisville City FC✓	1.32	1.32	1.32	1.32	–	75.9%
Indy Eleven	3.17	3.17	3.17	3.17	–	31.6%

Timeline

6'⚽goal1:0
42'⚽goal3:0
50'⚽goal4:0
52'▮yellow card4:0
54'▮yellow card4:0
58'⇄substitution4:0
60'⇄substitution4:0
63'⇄substitution4:0
66'⇄substitution4:0
71'⚽goal4:1
74'▮yellow card4:1

Match statistics

62Dangerous attacks55
0Penalties0
0Second yellow cards0

Odds movement

Market summary

In the match result market, Louisville City FC opened at 1.68 and closed 1.62. The implied probability increased from 59.4% to 61.9%. Indy Eleven moved from 4.29 to 4.69 (23.3% → 21.3%).

Statistical markets vs actual result

Market	Line	Over opening / closing	Under opening / closing	Actual	Result
Total corners (1st half)	4.5	1.81 / 1.81	1.91 / 1.91	–	–
Total corners	9.5	1.76 / 1.76	1.97 / 1.97	–	–

Markets (50)

Recent form