USL Championship1 October 2026, 02:00 UTC

Sacramento Republic FC3:2Full timeLas Vegas Lights

1–1 2–1

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.

63%+5

Sacramento Republic FC

22%+3

Draw

15%−9

Las Vegas Lights

Sacramento Republic FC v Las Vegas Lights, USL Championship, played on 1 October 2026. It finished Sacramento Republic FC 3–2 Las Vegas Lights. At kick-off the market had Sacramento Republic FC as favourite at 1.48 (about 63% once the margin is removed). That price drifted from 1.32 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds

2.10

▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Match resultmargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Sacramento Republic FC✓	1.32	1.48	1.63	1.32	▲ +12.8%	67.4%-8.6 pp
Draw	4.03	4.20	4.20	3.81	▲ +4.2%	23.8%-1.0 pp
Las Vegas Lights	3.18	6.12	6.21	3.18	▲ +92.8%	16.3%-15.2 pp

Total goalsLine 2.5margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Over✓	1.79	1.81	1.97	1.79	▲ +1.4%	55.2%-0.8 pp
Under	1.94	1.91	1.94	1.76	▼ -1.4%	52.3%+0.8 pp

Both teams to scoremargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Yes✓	1.75	1.91	1.97	1.75	▲ +9.3%	52.3%-4.8 pp
No	1.99	1.81	1.99	1.76	▼ -8.8%	55.2%+4.8 pp

Asian handicapLine -0.75Opening -1 → -0.75margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Sacramento Republic FC -0.75	1.81	1.60	1.81	1.60	▼ -11.9%	62.7%+7.5 pp
Las Vegas Lights +0.75	1.91	2.23	2.23	1.91	▲ +16.6%	44.9%-7.4 pp

Double chance

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Home or Draw✓	1.19	1.09	1.19	1.09	▼ -8.6%	91.7%+7.8 pp
Home or Away✓	1.25	1.19	1.25	1.19	▼ -4.9%	83.8%+4.1 pp
Draw or Away	1.94	2.52	2.52	1.94	▲ +29.9%	39.6%-11.8 pp

Timeline

12'⚽goal0:1
35'⚽goal1:1
49'⚽goal1:2
57'⚽goal2:2
81'⚽goal3:2

Match statistics

8Corners2
3Saves2
0Second yellow cards0

Odds movement

Market summary

In the match result market, Las Vegas Lights opened at 3.18 and closed 6.12. The implied probability decreased from 31.5% to 16.3%. Sacramento Republic FC moved from 1.32 to 1.48 (76% → 67.4%). The total corners (1st half) line was 4.5; the actual total was 10, settling over.

Statistical markets vs actual result

Market	Line	Over opening / closing	Under opening / closing	Actual	Result
Total corners (1st half)	4.5	2.00 / 2.08	1.74 / 1.68	10	Over
Total corners	8.5(9.5)	1.68 / 1.68	2.08 / 2.08	10	Over

Markets (43)

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