Cup. Group stage14 October 2026, 19:30 UTC

Union Atletico El Vigia1:3Full timeZamora Barinas

1–0 0–3

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.

42%+22

Union Atletico El Vigia

26%+6

Draw

32%−28

Zamora Barinas

Union Atletico El Vigia v Zamora Barinas, Cup. Group stage, played on 14 October 2026. It finished Union Atletico El Vigia 1–3 Zamora Barinas. At kick-off the market had Union Atletico El Vigia as favourite at 2.19 (about 42% once the margin is removed). That price shortened from 4.65 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds

2.10

▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Match resultmargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Union Atletico El Vigia	4.65	2.19	4.65	2.19	▼ -52.8%	45.6%+24.1 pp
Draw	4.65	3.57	4.65	3.51	▼ -23.2%	28.0%+6.5 pp
Zamora Barinas✓	1.55	2.95	2.95	1.55	▲ +90.3%	33.9%-30.6 pp

Total goalsLine 3.5margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Over✓	1.86	2.16	2.16	1.86	▲ +16.0%	46.4%-7.4 pp
Under	1.86	1.64	1.86	1.64	▼ -12.1%	61.2%+7.4 pp

Asian handicapLine 0Opening 1 → 0margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Union Atletico El Vigia 0	2.47	1.64	2.47	1.64	▼ -33.8%	61.2%+20.7 pp
Zamora Barinas 0✓	1.49	2.16	2.16	1.49	▲ +44.6%	46.4%-20.7 pp

Double chance

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Home or Draw	2.33	1.36	2.33	1.36	▼ -41.6%	73.3%+30.5 pp
Home or Away✓	1.16	1.26	1.26	1.16	▲ +8.5%	79.3%-6.8 pp
Draw or Away✓	1.16	1.60	1.60	1.16	▲ +37.9%	62.4%-23.6 pp

Timeline

22'▮yellow card1:0
43'▮yellow card1:0
45'⇄substitution1:0
55'◎penalty1:0
57'⚽goal1:1
57'⇄substitution1:1
60'⚽goal1:2
76'⇄substitution1:2
79'◎penalty1:2
79'▮yellow card1:2
81'⚽goal1:3
81'⇄substitution1:3
84'⇄substitution1:3

Match statistics

68Dangerous attacks58
0Second yellow cards0

Odds movement

Market summary

In the match result market, Zamora Barinas opened at 1.55 and closed 2.95. The implied probability decreased from 64.5% to 33.9%. Union Atletico El Vigia moved from 4.65 to 2.19 (21.5% → 45.6%).

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