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ChessConnah's Quay Nomads FC1:0Full timePen-y-Bont FC
0–0 1–0
Connah's Quay Nomads FC v Pen-y-Bont FC, Cymru Premier, played on 3 October 2026. It finished Connah's Quay Nomads FC 1–0 Pen-y-Bont FC. At kick-off the market had Connah's Quay Nomads FC as favourite at 1.70 (about 55% once the margin is removed). That price shortened from 1.92 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.
How to read these odds
1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.
The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.
A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.
Opening vs closing odds
| Selection | Opening | Closing | High | Low | Movement | Implied prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connah's Quay Nomads FC✓ | 1.92 | 1.70 | ▼ -11.0% | |||
| Draw | 3.43 | 3.65 | ▲ +6.6% | |||
| Pen-y-Bont FC | 3.83 | 4.67 | ▲ +21.8% |
| Selection | Opening | Closing | High | Low | Movement | Implied prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | 1.96 | 1.86 | ▼ -5.2% | |||
| Under✓ | 1.77 | 1.86 | ▲ +5.1% |
| Selection | Opening | Closing | High | Low | Movement | Implied prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1.83 | 1.81 | ▼ -1.0% | |||
| No✓ | 1.89 | 1.91 | ▲ +1.1% |
| Selection | Opening | Closing | High | Low | Movement | Implied prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connah's Quay Nomads FC -0.75 | 2.15 | 2.04 | ▼ -4.9% | |||
| Pen-y-Bont FC +0.75 | 1.64 | 1.71 | ▲ +4.1% |
| Selection | Opening | Closing | High | Low | Movement | Implied prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home or Draw✓ | 1.23 | 1.16 | ▼ -5.8% | |||
| Home or Away✓ | 1.27 | 1.25 | ▼ -1.6% | |||
| Draw or Away | 1.81 | 2.04 | ▲ +12.7% |
| Selection | Opening | Closing | High | Low | Movement | Implied prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connah's Quay Nomads FC✓ | 1.42 | 1.42 | – | |||
| Pen-y-Bont FC | 2.69 | 2.69 | – |
Timeline
- 45'▮yellow card0:0
- 86'⚽goal1:0
Match statistics
- 0Second yellow cards0
Odds movement
Market summary
In the match result market, Connah's Quay Nomads FC opened at 1.92 and closed 1.70. The implied probability increased from 52.2% to 58.7%. Pen-y-Bont FC moved from 3.83 to 4.67 (26.1% → 21.4%).
Statistical markets vs actual result
| Market | Line | Over opening / closing | Under opening / closing | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total corners (1st half) | 4.5 | 2.08 / 2.08 | 1.68 / 1.68 | – | – |
| Total corners | 8.5 | 1.68 / 1.68 | 2.08 / 2.08 | – | – |