FAW Welsh Cup16 October 2026, 18:45 UTC

Cardiff Metropolitan University FC4:0Full timeYnyshir Albions F.C.

2–0 2–0

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.

81%−1

Cardiff Metropolitan University FC

13%−1

Draw

6%+1

Ynyshir Albions F.C.

Cardiff Metropolitan University FC v Ynyshir Albions F.C., FAW Welsh Cup, played on 16 October 2026. It finished Cardiff Metropolitan University FC 4–0 Ynyshir Albions F.C.. At kick-off the market had Cardiff Metropolitan University FC as favourite at 1.15 (about 81% once the margin is removed). That price drifted from 1.14 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds

2.10

▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Match resultmargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Cardiff Metropolitan University FC✓	1.14	1.15	1.18	1.12	▲ +1.1%	86.7%-0.9 pp
Draw	6.93	7.21	7.77	6.29	▲ +4.0%	13.9%-0.6 pp
Ynyshir Albions F.C.	18.34	14.42	22.80	12.91	▼ -21.4%	6.9%+1.5 pp

Total goalsLine 3.5margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Over✓	1.81	1.76	1.81	1.69	▼ -2.5%	56.7%+1.4 pp
Under	1.91	1.97	2.06	1.91	▲ +2.8%	50.8%-1.4 pp

Both teams to scoremargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Yes	2.07	2.07	2.07	2.07	–	48.3%
No✓	1.69	1.69	1.69	1.69	–	59.2%

Asian handicapLine -2.5margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Cardiff Metropolitan University FC -2.5✓	1.93	1.97	2.06	1.76	▲ +2.0%	50.8%-1.0 pp
Ynyshir Albions F.C. +2.5	1.80	1.76	1.97	1.69	▼ -1.7%	56.7%+1.0 pp

Double chance

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Home or Draw✓	–	–	–	–	–	–
Home or Away✓	1.05	1.03	1.06	1.02	▼ -1.9%	97.1%+1.9 pp
Draw or Away	4.90	4.60	5.40	4.30	▼ -6.1%	21.7%+1.3 pp

Timeline

31'▮yellow card0:0
34'⚽goal1:0
36'▮yellow card1:0
38'⚽goal2:0
47'▮yellow card2:0
47'▮yellow card2:0
71'⚽goal3:0
80'▮yellow card3:0
82'⚽goal4:0
84'⇄substitution4:0
87'⇄substitution4:0

Match statistics

103Dangerous attacks56
7Shots on goal2
0Second yellow cards0

Odds movement

Markets (14)

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