NHL30 September 2026, 23:30 UTC

Toronto Maple Leafs2:1Full timeNew York Islanders

2–0 0–0 0–1

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.

55%+3

Toronto Maple Leafs

45%−3

New York Islanders

Toronto Maple Leafs v New York Islanders, NHL, played on 30 September 2026. It finished Toronto Maple Leafs 2–1 New York Islanders. At kick-off the market had Toronto Maple Leafs as favourite at 1.71 (about 55% once the margin is removed). That price shortened from 1.80 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds

2.10

▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Winnermargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Toronto Maple Leafs✓	1.80	1.71	1.81	1.71	▼ -5.5%	58.7%+3.2 pp
New York Islanders	1.92	2.05	2.05	1.91	▲ +6.6%	48.9%-3.2 pp

Timeline

11'⚽goal2:0
54'⚽goal2:1

Match statistics

30Face offs16
4Number of 2 min penalty4
0Player:fon:864255:points0

Odds movement

Market summary

In the winner market, Toronto Maple Leafs opened at 1.80 and closed 1.71. The implied probability increased from 55.4% to 58.7%. New York Islanders moved from 1.92 to 2.05 (52.1% → 48.9%).

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