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MMA. KSW

Kacper Paczoski0:3Full timeSzymon Bajor

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.
66%+8
Kacper Paczoski
2%
Draw
32%−8
Szymon Bajor

Kacper Paczoski v Szymon Bajor, MMA. KSW, played on 10 October 2026. It finished Kacper Paczoski 0–3 Szymon Bajor. At kick-off the market had Kacper Paczoski as favourite at 1.41 (about 66% once the margin is removed). That price shortened from 1.61 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds
1
2.10
▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Match resultmargin 7.5%
SelectionOpeningClosingMovement
Kacper Paczoski1.611.41▼ -12.4%
Draw49.2460.38▲ +22.6%
Szymon Bajor2.312.87▲ +24.1%
Total roundsLine 1.5margin 7.5%
SelectionOpeningClosingMovement
Over1.561.56–
Under2.312.31–

Odds movement

Market summary

In the match result market, Kacper Paczoski opened at 1.61 and closed 1.41. The implied probability increased from 62.2% to 71%. Szymon Bajor moved from 2.31 to 2.87 (43.3% → 34.9%).

Markets (3)

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