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ChessEngland12:30Full timeTonga
England v Tonga, World cup. Group stage, played on 17 October 2026. It finished England 12–30 Tonga. At kick-off the market had Tonga as favourite at 1.63 (about 57% once the margin is removed). That price shortened from 1.70 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.
How to read these odds
1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.
The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.
A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.
Opening vs closing odds
| Selection | Opening | Closing | High | Low | Movement | Implied prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| England | 2.31 | 2.43 | ▲ +4.9% | |||
| Draw | 18.52 | 19.64 | ▲ +6.0% | |||
| Tonga✓ | 1.70 | 1.63 | ▼ -3.8% |
| Selection | Opening | Closing | High | Low | Movement | Implied prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| England +2.5 | 1.86 | 1.86 | – | |||
| Tonga -2.5✓ | 1.86 | 1.86 | – |
Match statistics
- 60Possession in last 10 minutes40
- 2Tries4
Odds movement
Market summary
In the match result market, Tonga opened at 1.70 and closed 1.63. The implied probability increased from 58.9% to 61.2%. England moved from 2.31 to 2.43 (43.2% → 41.2%).
Markets (46)
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