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ATP 1000 Shanghai, China

Djokovic, Novak0:2Full timeHurkacz, Hubert

4–6 3–6

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.
61%−4
Djokovic, Novak
39%+4
Hurkacz, Hubert

Djokovic, Novak v Hurkacz, Hubert, ATP 1000 Shanghai, China, played on 9 October 2026. It finished Djokovic, Novak 0–2 Hurkacz, Hubert. At kick-off the market had Djokovic, Novak as favourite at 1.53 (about 61% once the margin is removed). That price drifted from 1.43 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds
1
2.10
▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Winnermargin 7.5%
SelectionOpeningClosingMovement
Djokovic, Novak1.431.53▲ +7.1%
Hurkacz, Hubert✓2.662.37▼ -11.0%
Total gamesLine 25.25Opening 24.5 → 25.25margin 7.5%
SelectionOpeningClosingMovement
Over1.911.86▼ -2.7%
Under✓1.811.86▲ +2.6%
Game handicapLine -1.75Opening -1.5 → -1.75margin 7.5%
SelectionOpeningClosingMovement
Djokovic, Novak -1.751.791.81▲ +1.1%
Hurkacz, Hubert +1.75✓1.931.91▼ -1.1%

Match statistics

  • 1Double faults2
  • 0Gamescore0

Odds movement

Market summary

In the winner market, Djokovic, Novak opened at 1.43 and closed 1.53. The implied probability decreased from 69.9% to 65.3%. Hurkacz, Hubert moved from 2.66 to 2.37 (37.6% → 42.2%). The total double faults line was 3.5; the actual total was 3, settling under.

Statistical markets vs actual result

MarketLineOver opening / closingUnder opening / closingActualResult
Total double faults3.51.68 / 1.812.08 / 1.913Under
Total aces19.51.97 / 1.971.76 / 1.76––

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