ATP 1000 Shanghai, China13 October 2026, 10:00 UTC

Zverev, Alexander2:1Full timeBublik, Alexander

7–6 4–6 7–6

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.

71%−2

Zverev, Alexander

29%+2

Bublik, Alexander

Zverev, Alexander v Bublik, Alexander, ATP 1000 Shanghai, China, played on 13 October 2026. It finished Zverev, Alexander 2–1 Bublik, Alexander. At kick-off the market had Zverev, Alexander as favourite at 1.32 (about 71% once the margin is removed). That price drifted from 1.28 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds

2.10

▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Winnermargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Zverev, Alexander✓	1.28	1.32	1.34	1.26	▲ +2.6%	75.9%-2.0 pp
Bublik, Alexander	3.38	3.17	3.53	3.04	▼ -6.2%	31.5%+2.0 pp

Total gamesLine 23.25Opening 23.5 → 23.25margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Over✓	1.88	1.81	1.88	1.81	▼ -3.7%	55.2%+2.0 pp
Under	1.84	1.91	1.91	1.84	▲ +3.9%	52.3%-2.0 pp

Game handicapLine -2.75Opening -3.5 → -2.75margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Zverev, Alexander -2.75	1.74	1.86	1.88	1.74	▲ +7.2%	53.8%-3.9 pp
Bublik, Alexander +2.75✓	2.01	1.86	2.01	1.84	▼ -7.3%	53.8%+3.9 pp

Match statistics

0Double faults0
72Points on own serve81

Odds movement

Market summary

In the winner market, Zverev, Alexander opened at 1.28 and closed 1.32. The implied probability decreased from 77.9% to 75.9%. The total double faults line was 4.5; the actual total was 0, settling under.

Statistical markets vs actual result

Market	Line	Over opening / closing	Under opening / closing	Actual	Result
Total sets	2.5	2.54 / 2.54	1.47 / 1.47	–	–
Total double faults	4.5	2.11 / 2.11	1.66 / 1.66	0	Under
Total aces	24.5(23.5)	1.76 / 1.81	1.97 / 1.91	–	–

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