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ATP 500 Beijing, China

Zhou, Yi0:2Full timeCarreno Busta, Pablo

5–7 3–6

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.
29%+6
Zhou, Yi
71%−6
Carreno Busta, Pablo

Zhou, Yi v Carreno Busta, Pablo, ATP 500 Beijing, China, played on 28 September 2026. It finished Zhou, Yi 0–2 Carreno Busta, Pablo. At kick-off the market had Carreno Busta, Pablo as favourite at 1.32 (about 71% once the margin is removed). That price drifted from 1.21 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds
1
2.10
▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Winnermargin 7.5%
SelectionOpeningClosingMovement
Zhou, Yi4.033.17▼ -21.4%
Carreno Busta, Pablo✓1.211.32▲ +8.9%
Total gamesLine 21.75Opening 21.5 → 21.75margin 7.5%
SelectionOpeningClosingMovement
Over1.911.86▼ -2.7%
Under1.811.86▲ +2.6%
Game handicapLine 3.75Opening 4.25 → 3.75margin 7.5%
SelectionOpeningClosingMovement
Zhou, Yi +3.752.041.91▼ -6.1%
Carreno Busta, Pablo -3.751.711.81▲ +5.8%

Match statistics

  • 6Double faults2
  • 0Gamescore0

Odds movement

Market summary

In the winner market, Zhou, Yi opened at 4.03 and closed 3.17. The implied probability increased from 24.8% to 31.6%. Carreno Busta, Pablo moved from 1.21 to 1.32 (82.7% → 75.9%).

Markets (47)

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