WTA 1000 Beijing, China3 October 2026, 05:00 UTC

Ostapenko, Jelena2:0Full timeBadosa, Paula

7–6 7–5

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.

41%+3

Ostapenko, Jelena

59%−3

Badosa, Paula

Ostapenko, Jelena v Badosa, Paula, WTA 1000 Beijing, China, played on 3 October 2026. It finished Ostapenko, Jelena 2–0 Badosa, Paula. At kick-off the market had Badosa, Paula as favourite at 1.58 (about 59% once the margin is removed). That price drifted from 1.50 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds

2.10

▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Winnermargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Ostapenko, Jelena✓	2.46	2.27	2.51	2.27	▼ -7.9%	44.1%+3.5 pp
Badosa, Paula	1.50	1.58	1.58	1.48	▲ +5.5%	63.4%-3.5 pp

Total gamesLine 21.5Opening 20.5 → 21.5margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Over✓	1.86	1.83	1.88	1.83	▼ -1.5%	54.6%+0.8 pp
Under	1.86	1.89	1.89	1.84	▲ +1.6%	52.9%-0.8 pp

Game handicapLine 2.75Opening 3.5 → 2.75margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Ostapenko, Jelena +2.75✓	1.88	1.83	1.93	1.81	▼ -2.7%	54.6%+1.4 pp
Badosa, Paula -2.75	1.84	1.89	1.91	1.79	▲ +2.7%	52.9%-1.4 pp

Match statistics

10Double faults3
0Gamescore0

Odds movement

Market summary

In the winner market, Badosa, Paula opened at 1.50 and closed 1.58. The implied probability decreased from 66.9% to 63.4%. Ostapenko, Jelena moved from 2.46 to 2.27 (40.6% → 44.1%). The total double faults line was 13.5; the actual total was 13, settling under.

Statistical markets vs actual result

Market	Line	Over opening / closing	Under opening / closing	Actual	Result
Total aces	8.5	2.04 / 2.04	1.71 / 1.71	–	–
Total double faults	13.5	1.81 / 1.81	1.91 / 1.91	13	Under

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