NCAA17 October 2026, 16:00 UTC

Michigan State Spartans21:24Full timeNorthwestern Wildcats

7–3 7–7 0–3 7–11 0–0

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.

Michigan State Spartans v Northwestern Wildcats, NCAA, played on 17 October 2026. It finished Michigan State Spartans 21–24 Northwestern Wildcats. At kick-off the market had Michigan State Spartans as favourite at 1.81 (about 51% once the margin is removed). That price shortened from 1.88 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds

2.10

▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Total pointsLine 49.5Opening 48.5 → 49.5margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Over	1.94	1.78	1.94	1.78	▼ -8.3%	56.2%+4.6 pp
Under✓	1.79	1.95	1.95	1.79	▲ +9.1%	51.3%-4.7 pp

Point spreadLine 7.5Opening 8.5 → 7.5margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Michigan State Spartans +7.5✓	1.88	1.81	1.88	1.76	▼ -3.4%	55.2%+1.9 pp
Northwestern Wildcats -7.5	1.84	1.91	1.97	1.84	▲ +3.6%	52.3%-1.9 pp

Match statistics

216Pass completions yards226

Odds movement

Market summary

In the total points market, Over opened at 1.94 and closed 1.78. The implied probability increased from 51.6% to 56.2%. Under moved from 1.79 to 1.95 (55.9% → 51.3%).

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