Liga Profesional11 October 2026, 20:00 UTC

CA Rosario Central5:0Full timeIndependiente Rivadavia

1–0 4–0

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.

48%+3

CA Rosario Central

29%−1

Draw

23%−2

Independiente Rivadavia

CA Rosario Central v Independiente Rivadavia, Liga Profesional, played on 11 October 2026. It finished CA Rosario Central 5–0 Independiente Rivadavia. At kick-off the market had CA Rosario Central as favourite at 1.94 (about 48% once the margin is removed). That price shortened from 2.07 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds

2.10

▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Match resultmargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
CA Rosario Central✓	2.07	1.94	2.07	1.88	▼ -6.1%	51.5%+3.1 pp
Draw	3.11	3.18	3.28	3.11	▲ +2.4%	31.4%-0.8 pp
Independiente Rivadavia	3.71	4.08	4.25	3.71	▲ +9.9%	24.5%-2.4 pp

Total goalsLine 2.25Opening 2 → 2.25margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Over✓	1.91	1.91	1.97	1.91	–	52.3%
Under	1.81	1.81	1.81	1.76	–	55.2%

Both teams to scoremargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Yes	2.02	2.03	2.04	2.00	▲ +0.9%	49.2%-0.4 pp
No✓	1.73	1.72	1.74	1.71	▼ -0.8%	58.3%+0.4 pp

Asian handicapLine -0.25margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
CA Rosario Central -0.25✓	1.74	1.63	1.74	1.57	▼ -6.2%	61.3%+3.8 pp
Independiente Rivadavia +0.25	2.00	2.17	2.28	2.00	▲ +8.1%	46.2%-3.8 pp

Double chance

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Home or Draw✓	1.24	1.21	1.24	1.20	▼ -2.6%	82.9%+2.1 pp
Home or Away✓	1.33	1.32	1.33	1.30	▼ -1.1%	76.0%+0.9 pp
Draw or Away	1.69	1.78	1.84	1.69	▲ +5.4%	56.1%-3.0 pp

Draw no betmargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
CA Rosario Central✓	1.47	1.47	1.47	1.45	–	68.2%
Independiente Rivadavia	2.54	2.54	2.60	2.54	–	39.3%

Timeline

11'⚽goal1:0
45'▮red card1:0
50'⚽goal2:0
56'⚽goal3:0
68'⚽goal4:0
73'⚽goal5:0
90'▮yellow card5:0

Match statistics

0Red cards1
0Player:bg:932435:goals h10
0Second yellow cards0

Odds movement

Market summary

In the match result market, CA Rosario Central opened at 2.07 and closed 1.94. The implied probability increased from 48.4% to 51.5%. Independiente Rivadavia moved from 3.71 to 4.08 (26.9% → 24.5%). The total cards (1st half) line was 1.5; the actual total was 4, settling over.

Statistical markets vs actual result

Market	Line	Over opening / closing	Under opening / closing	Actual	Result
Total cards (1st half)	1.5	1.86 / 1.86	1.86 / 1.86	4	Over
Total corners (1st half)	4.5	1.95 / 2.00	1.81 / 1.74	9	Over
Total cards	4.5(5.5)	1.75 / 1.75	1.98 / 1.98	1	Under
Total corners	9.5	1.97 / 2.06	1.76 / 1.73	–	–

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