Paraibano. Division 215 October 2026, 22:30 UTC

Cruzeiro Paraiba3:2Full timeSerrano Paraiba

1–0 2–2

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.

53%+2

Cruzeiro Paraiba

30%+6

Draw

17%−8

Serrano Paraiba

Cruzeiro Paraiba v Serrano Paraiba, Paraibano. Division 2, played on 15 October 2026. It finished Cruzeiro Paraiba 3–2 Serrano Paraiba. At kick-off the market had Cruzeiro Paraiba as favourite at 1.76 (about 53% once the margin is removed). That price shortened from 1.83 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds

2.10

▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Match resultmargin 7.6%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Cruzeiro Paraiba✓	1.83	1.76	2.06	1.70	▼ -3.9%	56.9%+2.2 pp
Draw	3.92	3.09	3.92	2.88	▼ -21.3%	32.4%+6.9 pp
Serrano Paraiba	3.67	5.47	5.57	3.67	▲ +49.4%	18.3%-9.0 pp

Total goalsLine 2.5margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Over✓	1.76	2.01	2.04	1.76	▲ +14.0%	49.7%-7.0 pp
Under	1.97	1.73	1.97	1.71	▼ -12.1%	57.8%+7.0 pp

Asian handicapLine -1margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Cruzeiro Paraiba -1	2.42	2.34	2.42	2.19	▼ -3.2%	42.7%+1.4 pp
Serrano Paraiba +1	1.51	1.54	1.62	1.51	▲ +2.1%	64.8%-1.4 pp

Double chance

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Home or Draw✓	1.24	1.12	1.24	1.12	▼ -10.2%	89.6%+9.2 pp
Home or Away✓	1.22	1.34	1.37	1.22	▲ +9.9%	74.5%-7.4 pp
Draw or Away	1.90	1.96	2.06	1.70	▲ +3.5%	50.9%-1.8 pp

Timeline

61'⇄substitution1:2
85'▮yellow card2:2
85'⇄substitution2:2
85'⇄substitution2:2
87'▮yellow card2:2
92'⇄substitution3:2
92'⇄substitution3:2

Match statistics

0Dangerous attacks0

Odds movement

Market summary

In the match result market, Serrano Paraiba opened at 3.67 and closed 5.47. The implied probability decreased from 27.3% to 18.3%. Draw moved from 3.92 to 3.09 (25.5% → 32.4%).

Markets (5)

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