Paraibano. Division 215 October 2026, 22:30 UTC

Desportiva Guarabira0:3Full timeSpartax Joao Pessoa

0–2 0–1

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.

70%+6

Desportiva Guarabira

23%

Draw

7%−5

Spartax Joao Pessoa

Desportiva Guarabira v Spartax Joao Pessoa, Paraibano. Division 2, played on 15 October 2026. It finished Desportiva Guarabira 0–3 Spartax Joao Pessoa. At kick-off the market had Desportiva Guarabira as favourite at 1.24 (about 70% once the margin is removed). That price shortened from 1.44 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds

2.10

▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Match resultmargin 14.9%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Desportiva Guarabira	1.44	1.24	1.52	1.22	▼ -13.9%	80.5%+11.2 pp
Draw	4.02	3.80	4.02	3.72	▼ -5.5%	26.3%+1.4 pp
Spartax Joao Pessoa✓	7.52	12.42	12.42	6.81	▲ +65.1%	8.1%-5.2 pp

Total goalsLine 3.5Opening 2.5 → 3.5margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Over	1.95	1.88	1.95	1.61	▼ -3.3%	53.2%+1.8 pp
Under✓	1.78	1.84	2.21	1.78	▲ +3.3%	54.3%-1.8 pp

Asian handicapLine -1Opening -1.5 → -1margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Desportiva Guarabira -1	1.79	1.79	1.79	1.79	–	55.8%
Spartax Joao Pessoa +1✓	1.93	1.93	1.93	1.93	–	51.7%

Double chance

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Home or Draw	1.07	1.08	1.08	1.07	▲ +1.2%	92.7%-1.1 pp
Home or Away✓	1.21	1.09	1.24	1.00	▼ -10.0%	91.7%+9.2 pp
Draw or Away✓	2.59	3.60	3.80	2.38	▲ +39.1%	27.8%-10.9 pp

Timeline

45'⇄substitution0:2
62'▮red card0:2
69'▮yellow card0:2
71'⇄substitution0:2
73'⇄substitution0:2
85'▮yellow card0:2
93'▮yellow card0:3

Match statistics

97Dangerous attacks40
0Shots on goal3

Odds movement

Market summary

In the match result market, Desportiva Guarabira opened at 1.44 and closed 1.24. The implied probability increased from 69.3% to 80.5%. Spartax Joao Pessoa moved from 7.52 to 12.42 (13.3% → 8.1%).

Markets (7)

Head to head (1)

0Desportiva Guarabira0Draws1Spartax Joao Pessoa

05 Oct
Full time
Paraibano. Division 2 (Brazil)
Desportiva Guarabira0Spartax Joao Pessoa1
1
1.91
▼2.10
X
3.26
▼3.62
2
4.08
▲3.10

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