Primera A18 October 2026, 01:10 UTC

Independiente Medellin0:2Full timeCD Once Caldas

0–1 0–1

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.

46%−3

Independiente Medellin

27%

Draw

27%+3

CD Once Caldas

Independiente Medellin v CD Once Caldas, Primera A, played on 18 October 2026. It finished Independiente Medellin 0–2 CD Once Caldas. At kick-off the market had Independiente Medellin as favourite at 2.03 (about 46% once the margin is removed). That price drifted from 1.91 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds

2.10

▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Match resultmargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Independiente Medellin	1.91	2.03	2.04	1.83	▲ +6.0%	49.3%-3.0 pp
Draw	3.43	3.41	3.48	3.33	▼ -0.4%	29.3%+0.1 pp
CD Once Caldas✓	3.84	3.46	4.17	3.46	▼ -9.8%	28.9%+2.8 pp

Total goalsLine 2.5margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Over	1.87	1.86	1.91	1.86	▼ -0.3%	53.8%+0.2 pp
Under✓	1.85	1.86	1.86	1.81	▲ +0.3%	53.8%-0.1 pp

Both teams to scoremargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Yes	1.75	1.73	1.81	1.71	▼ -1.1%	57.8%+0.7 pp
No✓	1.99	2.01	2.04	1.91	▲ +1.3%	49.7%-0.7 pp

Asian handicapLine -0.25Opening -1 → -0.25margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Independiente Medellin -0.25	1.56	1.69	1.69	1.56	▲ +8.7%	59.1%-5.2 pp
CD Once Caldas +0.25✓	2.31	2.06	2.31	2.06	▼ -10.6%	48.4%+5.2 pp

Double chance

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Home or Draw	1.23	1.29	1.29	1.20	▲ +4.7%	77.8%-3.7 pp
Home or Away✓	1.28	1.29	1.29	1.28	▲ +0.6%	77.8%-0.4 pp
Draw or Away✓	1.81	1.68	1.85	1.68	▼ -6.9%	59.5%+4.1 pp

Timeline

15'▮yellow card0:0
21'▮yellow card0:0
34'⚽goal0:1
45'⇄substitution0:1
52'▮yellow card0:1
63'⇄substitution0:1
63'⇄substitution0:1
64'⚽goal0:2
78'⇄substitution0:2
78'⇄substitution0:2
80'▮yellow card0:2
81'▮yellow card0:2
89'⇄substitution0:2
91'⇄substitution0:2

Match statistics

25Dangerous attacks15
0Player:ab:105908:last goal0
0Second yellow cards0

Odds movement

Market summary

In the match result market, Independiente Medellin opened at 1.91 and closed 2.03. The implied probability decreased from 52.3% to 49.3%. CD Once Caldas moved from 3.84 to 3.46 (26.1% → 28.9%).

Statistical markets vs actual result

Market	Line	Over opening / closing	Under opening / closing	Actual	Result
Total corners (1st half)	4.5	1.97 / 1.93	1.76 / 1.79	–	–
Total corners	9.5	2.00 / 1.97	1.74 / 1.76	–	–

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