HNL17 October 2026, 13:00 UTC

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb2:0Full timeNK Istra 1961

1–0 1–0

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.

41%+1

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

28%+1

Draw

31%−2

NK Istra 1961

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb v NK Istra 1961, HNL, played on 17 October 2026. It finished NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 2–0 NK Istra 1961. At kick-off the market had NK Lokomotiva Zagreb as favourite at 2.27 (about 41% once the margin is removed). That price shortened from 2.35 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds

2.10

▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Match resultmargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb✓	2.35	2.27	2.35	2.27	▼ -3.5%	44.0%+1.5 pp
Draw	3.43	3.36	3.71	3.36	▼ -2.1%	29.8%+0.6 pp
NK Istra 1961	2.79	2.96	2.96	2.73	▲ +6.4%	33.7%-2.2 pp

Total goalsLine 2.75Opening 3 → 2.75margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Over	1.81	1.81	1.81	1.81	–	55.2%
Under✓	1.91	1.91	1.91	1.91	–	52.3%

Both teams to scoremargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Yes	1.49	1.53	1.55	1.49	▲ +2.9%	65.3%-1.9 pp
No✓	2.48	2.37	2.48	2.32	▼ -4.4%	42.2%+1.9 pp

Asian handicapLine -0.25Opening 0 → -0.25margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb -0.25✓	1.94	1.95	1.95	1.94	▲ +0.5%	51.3%-0.3 pp
NK Istra 1961 +0.25	1.78	1.78	1.78	1.78	–	56.2%

Double chance

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Home or Draw✓	1.39	1.35	1.41	1.35	▼ -3.4%	74.3%+2.5 pp
Home or Away✓	1.28	1.30	1.30	1.24	▲ +1.3%	77.2%-1.0 pp
Draw or Away	1.54	1.57	1.58	1.54	▲ +2.5%	63.5%-1.6 pp

Timeline

45'⚽goal2:0
51'▮yellow card2:0
68'⇄substitution2:0
76'⇄substitution2:0
87'⇄substitution2:0
90'⇄substitution2:0

Match statistics

65Dangerous attacks70
0Own goals0
0Second yellow cards0

Odds movement

Market summary

In the match result market, NK Istra 1961 opened at 2.79 and closed 2.96. The implied probability decreased from 35.9% to 33.7%. The total corners (1st half) line was 4.5; the actual total was 6, settling over.

Statistical markets vs actual result

Market	Line	Over opening / closing	Under opening / closing	Actual	Result
Total corners (1st half)	4.5	1.97 / 1.81	1.76 / 1.91	6	Over
Total corners	9.5	2.00 / 1.81	1.74 / 1.91	–	–

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