U21 European Championship, Qualification6 October 2026, 17:00 UTC

Ireland U213:1Full timeEngland U21

2–1 1–0

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.

21%−4

Ireland U21

24%

Draw

55%+5

England U21

Ireland U21 v England U21, U21 European Championship, Qualification, played on 6 October 2026. It finished Ireland U21 3–1 England U21. At kick-off the market had England U21 as favourite at 1.68 (about 55% once the margin is removed). That price shortened from 1.83 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds

2.10

▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Match resultmargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Ireland U21✓	3.68	4.43	5.70	3.68	▲ +20.3%	22.6%-4.6 pp
Draw	3.89	3.93	4.31	3.89	▲ +1.0%	25.5%-0.3 pp
England U21	1.83	1.68	1.83	1.50	▼ -8.1%	59.5%+4.8 pp

Total goalsLine 2.75Opening 3 → 2.75margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Over✓	1.81	1.78	1.81	1.74	▼ -1.8%	56.2%+1.0 pp
Under	1.91	1.95	2.00	1.91	▲ +2.0%	51.3%-1.0 pp

Both teams to scoremargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Yes✓	1.58	1.64	1.71	1.56	▲ +3.9%	61.1%-2.4 pp
No	2.27	2.15	2.31	2.04	▼ -5.2%	46.4%+2.4 pp

Asian handicapLine 1margin 6.2%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Ireland U21 +1✓	1.54	1.68	1.93	1.54	▲ +8.5%	59.6%-5.1 pp
England U21 -1	2.34	2.15	2.34	1.79	▼ -8.2%	46.6%+3.8 pp

Double chance

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Home or Draw✓	1.89	2.09	2.43	1.89	▲ +10.8%	47.8%-5.2 pp
Home or Away✓	1.22	1.21	1.22	1.19	▼ -1.0%	82.5%+0.8 pp
Draw or Away	1.25	1.18	1.25	1.11	▼ -5.1%	84.7%+4.3 pp

Timeline

7'⚽goal0:1
25'▮yellow card1:1
27'▮yellow card1:1
37'⚽goal2:1
62'⚽goal3:1

Match statistics

3Corners11
1Yellow cards1
0Player:ab:107245:red cards0
0Second yellow cards0

Odds movement

Market summary

In the match result market, England U21 opened at 1.83 and closed 1.68. The implied probability increased from 54.6% to 59.5%. Ireland U21 moved from 3.68 to 4.43 (27.2% → 22.6%). The total cards (1st half) line was 1.5; the actual total was 2, settling over.

Statistical markets vs actual result

Market	Line	Over opening / closing	Under opening / closing	Actual	Result
Total cards (1st half)	1.5	2.37 / 2.37	1.53 / 1.53	2	Over
Total corners (1st half)	4.5	2.18 / 2.18	1.62 / 1.62	0	Under
Total cards	3.5	1.74 / 1.74	2.00 / 2.00	2	Under
Total corners	8.5	1.83 / 1.83	1.89 / 1.89	14	Over

Markets (50)

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