UEFA Conference League15 October 2026, 16:45 UTC

Panathinaikos Athens2:1Full timeFK Borac Banja Luka

1–0 1–1

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.

78%+4

Panathinaikos Athens

14%−3

Draw

8%−2

FK Borac Banja Luka

Panathinaikos Athens v FK Borac Banja Luka, UEFA Conference League, played on 15 October 2026. It finished Panathinaikos Athens 2–1 FK Borac Banja Luka. At kick-off the market had Panathinaikos Athens as favourite at 1.19 (about 78% once the margin is removed). That price shortened from 1.26 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds

2.10

▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Match resultmargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Panathinaikos Athens✓	1.26	1.19	1.31	1.19	▼ -5.4%	84.0%+4.5 pp
Draw	5.51	6.54	6.62	5.13	▲ +18.6%	15.3%-2.8 pp
FK Borac Banja Luka	10.16	12.20	12.68	8.25	▲ +20.1%	8.2%-1.6 pp

Total goalsLine 3margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Over	1.84	1.79	1.89	1.74	▼ -2.6%	55.9%+1.4 pp
Under	1.89	1.94	2.00	1.84	▲ +2.8%	51.6%-1.4 pp

Both teams to scoremargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Yes✓	1.95	2.19	2.19	1.89	▲ +12.2%	45.7%-5.6 pp
No	1.78	1.62	1.84	1.61	▼ -9.0%	61.8%+5.6 pp

Asian handicapLine -2Opening -1.75 → -2margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Panathinaikos Athens -2	1.93	1.93	1.93	1.93	–	51.9%
FK Borac Banja Luka +2✓	1.80	1.80	1.80	1.80	–	55.6%

Double chance

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Home or Draw✓	1.03	1.01	1.05	1.01	▼ -1.8%	98.5%+1.8 pp
Home or Away✓	1.11	1.08	1.14	1.08	▼ -2.7%	92.4%+2.5 pp
Draw or Away	3.53	4.16	4.24	3.09	▲ +17.8%	24.1%-4.3 pp

Draw no betmargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Panathinaikos Athens✓	1.09	1.04	1.09	1.04	▼ -4.0%	95.9%+3.8 pp
FK Borac Banja Luka	6.49	8.62	8.62	6.49	▲ +32.8%	11.6%-3.8 pp

Timeline

5'▮yellow card0:0
9'▮yellow card0:0
10'⚽goal1:0
28'▮yellow card1:0
69'⚽goal2:0
79'⚽goal2:1
83'⇄substitution2:1
86'⇄substitution2:1

Match statistics

85Dangerous attacks18
20Shots off goal2
0Second yellow cards0

Odds movement

Market summary

In the match result market, Panathinaikos Athens opened at 1.26 and closed 1.19. The implied probability increased from 79.5% to 84%. Draw moved from 5.51 to 6.54 (18.1% → 15.3%). The total cards (1st half) line was 1.5; the actual total was 3, settling over.

Statistical markets vs actual result

Market	Line	Over opening / closing	Under opening / closing	Actual	Result
Total cards (1st half)	1.5	1.86 / 1.86	1.86 / 1.86	3	Over
Total offsides (1st half)	1.5	1.76 / 1.89	1.97 / 1.83	–	–
Total corners (1st half)	4.5	1.97 / 1.89	1.76 / 1.83	–	–
Total shots on target (1st half)	4.5	2.17 / 2.17	1.63 / 1.63	–	–
Total goal kicks (1st half)	7.5	2.16 / 2.16	1.64 / 1.64	–	–
Total fouls (1st half)	11.5	1.74 / 1.74	2.01 / 2.01	–	–
Total throw-ins (1st half)	21.5	1.91 / 1.91	1.81 / 1.81	–	–
Total offsides	3.5(2.5)	1.86 / 2.11	1.86 / 1.66	–	–
Total cards	4.5	1.76 / 1.76	1.97 / 1.97	–	–
Total corners	9.5	2.01 / 1.89	1.73 / 1.83	–	–
Total shots on target	9.5	1.86 / 1.86	1.86 / 1.86	–	–
Total goal kicks	14.5	1.71 / 1.71	2.04 / 2.04	–	–
Total fouls	25.5(24.5)	2.01 / 2.01	1.73 / 1.73	–	–
Total shots	26.5(25.5)	2.04 / 1.86	1.71 / 1.86	–	–
Total throw-ins	42.5	1.86 / 1.86	1.86 / 1.86	–	–

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