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UEFA Europa League

KKS Lech Poznan0:4Full timeBayer Leverkusen

0–3 0–1

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.
16%−5
KKS Lech Poznan
19%−3
Draw
65%+8
Bayer Leverkusen

KKS Lech Poznan v Bayer Leverkusen, UEFA Europa League, played on 15 October 2026. It finished KKS Lech Poznan 0–4 Bayer Leverkusen. At kick-off the market had Bayer Leverkusen as favourite at 1.41 (about 65% once the margin is removed). That price shortened from 1.63 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds
1
2.10
▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Match resultmargin 9.0%
SelectionOpeningClosingMovement
KKS Lech Poznan4.495.75▲ +28.1%
Draw4.204.85▲ +15.7%
Bayer Leverkusen✓1.631.41▼ -13.6%
Total goalsLine 3.25Opening 3 → 3.25margin 7.5%
SelectionOpeningClosingMovement
Over✓2.011.71▼ -15.1%
Under1.732.04▲ +18.0%
Both teams to scoremargin 7.5%
SelectionOpeningClosingMovement
Yes1.561.57▲ +0.3%
No✓2.292.28▼ -0.4%
Asian handicapLine 0.75margin 7.5%
SelectionOpeningClosingMovement
KKS Lech Poznan +0.751.912.37▲ +23.9%
Bayer Leverkusen -0.75✓1.811.53▼ -15.4%
Double chance
SelectionOpeningClosingMovement
Home or Draw2.162.71▲ +25.7%
Home or Away✓1.201.15▼ -3.6%
Draw or Away✓1.181.09▼ -7.0%

Timeline

  1. 28'⚽goal0:1
  2. 39'▮yellow card0:2
  3. 40'⚽goal0:3
  4. 67'▮yellow card0:3
  5. 73'⇄substitution0:3
  6. 75'⇄substitution0:3
  7. 79'▮yellow card0:3
  8. 88'⚽goal0:4

Match statistics

  • 32Dangerous attacks48
  • 0Player:ab:83419:goals h10
  • 0To hit the woodwork0
  • 0Second yellow cards0

Odds movement

Market summary

In the match result market, Bayer Leverkusen opened at 1.63 and closed 1.41. The implied probability increased from 61.4% to 71%. KKS Lech Poznan moved from 4.49 to 5.75 (22.3% → 17.4%).

Statistical markets vs actual result

MarketLineOver opening / closingUnder opening / closingActualResult
Total cards (1st half)1.52.48 / 2.571.49 / 1.46––
Total offsides (1st half)1.52.04 / 2.041.71 / 1.71––
Total corners (1st half)4.51.78 / 1.831.95 / 1.89––
Total shots on target (1st half)4.51.83 / 1.831.89 / 1.89––
Total goal kicks (1st half)7.51.76 / 1.761.97 / 1.97––
Total fouls (1st half)10.51.81 / 1.811.91 / 1.91––
Total throw-ins (1st half)16.51.91 / 2.131.81 / 1.65––
Total offsides2.51.54 / 1.542.35 / 2.35––
Total cards3.5(4.5)1.60 / 1.862.23 / 1.86––
Total corners9.51.74 / 1.762.00 / 1.97––
Total shots on target9.51.80 / 1.521.93 / 2.39––
Total goal kicks16.51.86 / 1.861.86 / 1.86––
Total fouls22.51.86 / 1.861.86 / 1.86––
Total shots28.51.86 / 1.861.86 / 1.86––
Total throw-ins32.51.86 / 2.081.86 / 1.68––

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