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UEFA Nations League A

Denmark2:0Full timeWales

0–0 2–0

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.
68%+3
Denmark
18%−2
Draw
13%
Wales

Denmark v Wales, UEFA Nations League A, played on 27 September 2026. It finished Denmark 2–0 Wales. At kick-off the market had Denmark as favourite at 1.36 (about 68% once the margin is removed). That price shortened from 1.42 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds
1
2.10
▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Match resultmargin 7.5%
SelectionOpeningClosingMovement
Denmark✓1.421.36▼ -3.9%
Draw4.505.07▲ +12.6%
Wales6.756.92▲ +2.5%
Total goalsLine 2.75margin 7.5%
SelectionOpeningClosingMovement
Over1.951.71▼ -12.4%
Under1.782.04▲ +14.7%
Both teams to scoremargin 7.5%
SelectionOpeningClosingMovement
Yes1.891.79▼ -5.1%
No✓1.841.94▲ +5.6%
Asian handicapLine -1.25margin 7.5%
SelectionOpeningClosingMovement
Denmark -1.251.911.74▼ -9.1%
Wales +1.251.812.00▲ +10.4%
Double chance
SelectionOpeningClosingMovement
Home or Draw✓1.081.08▲ +0.2%
Home or Away✓1.181.14▼ -3.1%
Draw or Away2.692.90▲ +7.5%

Timeline

  1. 37'▮yellow card0:0
  2. 48'▮yellow card0:0
  3. 52'⚽goal1:0
  4. 64'▮yellow card1:0

Match statistics

  • 1Medical treatment received on the pitch0
  • 0Second yellow cards0

Odds movement

Market summary

In the match result market, Denmark opened at 1.42 and closed 1.36. The implied probability increased from 70.5% to 73.3%. Draw moved from 4.50 to 5.07 (22.2% → 19.7%).

Statistical markets vs actual result

MarketLineOver opening / closingUnder opening / closingActualResult
Total cards (1st half)1.52.54 / 2.541.47 / 1.47––
Total offsides (1st half)1.52.42 / 2.421.51 / 1.51––
Total shots on target (1st half)3.51.74 / 1.742.00 / 2.00––
Total corners (1st half)4.51.91 / 1.851.81 / 1.87––
Total goal kicks (1st half)7.52.15 / 2.151.64 / 1.64––
Total fouls (1st half)9.51.74 / 1.742.00 / 2.00––
Total shots (1st half)10.51.76 / 1.761.97 / 1.97––
Total throw-ins (1st half)16.51.91 / 1.711.81 / 2.04––
Total offsides2.51.86 / 1.861.86 / 1.86––
Total cards3.51.86 / 1.861.86 / 1.86––
Total shots on target8.51.86 / 1.761.86 / 1.97––
Total corners9.51.95 / 1.811.78 / 1.91––
Total goal kicks14.51.71 / 1.712.04 / 2.04––
Total fouls20.51.81 / 1.741.91 / 2.00––
Total shots24.51.86 / 1.761.86 / 1.97––
Total throw-ins33.5(32.5)1.86 / 1.761.86 / 1.97––

Markets (790)

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