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UEFA Nations League B

North Macedonia0:2Full timeScotland

0–1 0–1

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.
12%−8
North Macedonia
25%−1
Draw
63%+9
Scotland

North Macedonia v Scotland, UEFA Nations League B, played on 3 October 2026. It finished North Macedonia 0–2 Scotland. At kick-off the market had Scotland as favourite at 1.48 (about 63% once the margin is removed). That price shortened from 1.72 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds
1
2.10
▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Match resultmargin 7.5%
SelectionOpeningClosingMovement
North Macedonia4.587.70▲ +68.3%
Draw3.633.70▲ +2.0%
Scotland✓1.721.48▼ -13.9%
Total goalsLine 2.25Opening 2.5 → 2.25margin 7.5%
SelectionOpeningClosingMovement
Over1.811.91▲ +5.5%
Under1.911.81▼ -5.2%
Both teams to scoremargin 7.5%
SelectionOpeningClosingMovement
Yes1.942.37▲ +22.3%
No✓1.791.53▼ -14.4%
Asian handicapLine 0.75margin 7.5%
SelectionOpeningClosingMovement
North Macedonia +0.751.811.83▲ +1.1%
Scotland -0.75✓1.911.89▼ -1.1%
Double chance
SelectionOpeningClosingMovement
Home or Draw2.012.50▲ +24.3%
Home or Away✓1.251.24▼ -0.6%
Draw or Away✓1.171.06▼ -9.7%
Draw no betmargin 7.5%
SelectionOpeningClosingMovement
North Macedonia3.313.31–
Scotland✓1.291.29–

Timeline

  1. 6'⚽goal0:1
  2. 43'▮yellow card0:1
  3. 45'▮yellow card0:1
  4. 68'▮yellow card0:1
  5. 68'⚽goal0:2
  6. 79'▮yellow card0:2

Match statistics

  • 2Medical treatment received on the pitch0
  • 0Player:bg:729925:last goal0
  • 0Second yellow cards0

Odds movement

Market summary

In the match result market, Scotland opened at 1.72 and closed 1.48. The implied probability increased from 58.1% to 67.5%. North Macedonia moved from 4.58 to 7.70 (21.9% → 13%). The total corners (1st half) line was 4.5; the actual total was 8, settling over.

Statistical markets vs actual result

MarketLineOver opening / closingUnder opening / closingActualResult
Total cards (1st half)1.52.04 / 2.041.71 / 1.71––
Total offsides (1st half)1.52.31 / 2.151.56 / 1.62––
Total shots on target (1st half)3.51.83 / 1.831.89 / 1.89––
Total corners (1st half)4.52.21 / 2.131.61 / 1.658Over
Total goal kicks (1st half)7.52.15 / 2.151.64 / 1.64––
Total fouls (1st half)11.5(10.5)2.00 / 1.811.74 / 1.91––
Total throw-ins (1st half)17.51.91 / 1.741.81 / 2.00––
Total offsides2.51.76 / 1.661.97 / 2.11––
Total cards4.52.04 / 2.041.71 / 1.71––
Total corners8.51.81 / 1.761.91 / 1.97––
Total shots on target8.52.00 / 2.001.74 / 1.74––
Total goal kicks14.51.71 / 1.712.04 / 2.04––
Total fouls24.5(22.5)2.11 / 1.861.66 / 1.86––
Total shots25.5(24.5)1.86 / 1.861.86 / 1.86––
Total throw-ins34.51.86 / 1.641.86 / 2.15––

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