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UEFA Nations League B

Ukraine1:2Full timeHungary

0–0 1–2

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.
33%−5
Ukraine
31%+1
Draw
36%+4
Hungary

Ukraine v Hungary, UEFA Nations League B, played on 5 October 2026. It finished Ukraine 1–2 Hungary. At kick-off the market had Hungary as favourite at 2.58 (about 36% once the margin is removed). That price shortened from 2.91 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds
1
2.10
▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Match resultmargin 7.5%
SelectionOpeningClosingMovement
Ukraine2.432.82▲ +16.1%
Draw3.133.01▼ -3.9%
Hungary✓2.912.58▼ -11.4%
Total goalsLine 2.25Opening 2.5 → 2.25margin 7.5%
SelectionOpeningClosingMovement
Over✓1.811.97▲ +8.8%
Under1.911.76▼ -7.9%
Both teams to scoremargin 7.5%
SelectionOpeningClosingMovement
Yes✓1.801.94▲ +7.5%
No1.921.79▼ -7.0%
Asian handicapLine 0margin 6.4%
SelectionOpeningClosingMovement
Ukraine 01.731.99▲ +14.8%
Hungary 0✓2.011.78▼ -11.3%
Double chance
SelectionOpeningClosingMovement
Home or Draw1.371.46▲ +6.8%
Home or Away✓1.321.35▲ +2.0%
Draw or Away✓1.511.38▼ -8.4%
Draw no betmargin 7.5%
SelectionOpeningClosingMovement
Ukraine1.731.73–
Hungary✓2.012.01–

Timeline

  1. 19'▮yellow card0:0
  2. 54'▮yellow card0:1
  3. 82'⚽goal1:1
  4. 84'⚽goal1:2

Match statistics

  • 0Player:bg:827011:goal40
  • 1To hit the woodwork0
  • 0Second yellow cards0

Odds movement

Market summary

In the match result market, Ukraine opened at 2.43 and closed 2.82. The implied probability decreased from 41.2% to 35.5%. Hungary moved from 2.91 to 2.58 (34.4% → 38.8%). The total cards (1st half) line was 1.5; the actual total was 0, settling under.

Statistical markets vs actual result

MarketLineOver opening / closingUnder opening / closingActualResult
Total cards (1st half)1.51.76 / 1.891.97 / 1.830Under
Total offsides (1st half)1.51.91 / 1.911.81 / 1.81––
Total corners (1st half)3.51.60 / 1.712.23 / 2.04––
Total shots on target (1st half)3.51.91 / 1.911.81 / 1.81––
Total goal kicks (1st half)7.52.15 / 2.151.64 / 1.64––
Total fouls (1st half)13.5(12.5)2.04 / 1.811.71 / 1.91––
Total throw-ins (1st half)18.52.00 / 1.911.74 / 1.81––
Total offsides3.52.17 / 2.171.63 / 1.63––
Total cards4.51.62 / 1.812.18 / 1.91––
Total corners8.51.91 / 2.171.81 / 1.63––
Total shots on target8.5(7.5)2.13 / 2.131.65 / 1.65––
Total goal kicks14.51.71 / 1.712.04 / 2.04––
Total shots24.51.86 / 1.861.86 / 1.86––
Total fouls28.5(26.5)1.86 / 1.781.86 / 1.95––
Total throw-ins36.5(35.5)1.86 / 1.861.86 / 1.86––

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