Cup. 1/32 Finals18 October 2026, 18:45 UTC

OS Belenenses3:4Full timeArouca

0–1 3–2 0–1

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.

17%+4

OS Belenenses

21%

Draw

63%−4

Arouca

OS Belenenses v Arouca, Cup. 1/32 Finals, played on 18 October 2026. It finished OS Belenenses 3–4 Arouca. At kick-off the market had Arouca as favourite at 1.49 (about 63% once the margin is removed). That price drifted from 1.39 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds

2.10

▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Match resultmargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
OS Belenenses	7.50	5.54	7.50	4.36	▼ -26.2%	18.1%+4.7 pp
Draw✓	4.52	4.51	4.75	4.28	▼ -0.3%	22.2%
Arouca	1.39	1.49	1.61	1.39	▲ +7.1%	67.2%-4.8 pp

Total goalsLine 2.5margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Over✓	1.69	1.78	1.83	1.69	▲ +5.3%	56.1%-3.0 pp
Under	2.06	1.95	2.06	1.89	▼ -5.8%	51.4%+3.0 pp

Both teams to scoremargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Yes✓	1.97	1.91	1.97	1.86	▼ -2.8%	52.3%+1.5 pp
No	1.76	1.81	1.86	1.76	▲ +2.7%	55.2%-1.5 pp

Asian handicapLine 1Opening 1.5 → 1margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
OS Belenenses +1✓	2.26	1.97	2.26	1.76	▼ -13.1%	50.8%+6.7 pp
Arouca -1	1.58	1.76	1.97	1.58	▲ +11.8%	56.7%-6.7 pp

Double chance

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Home or Draw✓	2.80	2.44	2.80	2.21	▼ -12.6%	40.9%+5.2 pp
Home or Away	1.17	1.18	1.19	1.16	▲ +0.4%	85.1%-0.4 pp
Draw or Away✓	1.07	1.12	1.18	1.07	▲ +5.3%	89.0%-4.7 pp

Timeline

20'⚽goal0:1
48'⚽goal1:1
60'⇄substitution1:1
75'⚽goal2:1
86'⚽goal2:2
90'⚽goal2:3
93'⚽goal3:3
111'⇄substitution3:4
115'▮yellow card3:4
121'⚽goal3:4

Match statistics

65Dangerous attacks104
6Shots on goal5
0Second yellow cards0

Odds movement

Market summary

In the match result market, OS Belenenses opened at 7.50 and closed 5.54. The implied probability increased from 13.3% to 18.1%. Arouca moved from 1.39 to 1.49 (72% → 67.2%).

Markets (41)

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11 OctAMafra2–2D

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OS Belenenses3:4Full timeArouca

Opening vs closing odds

Timeline

Match statistics

Odds movement

Market summary

Markets (41)

Recent form

OS Belenenses

Arouca

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