Primera Division4 October 2026, 22:30 UTC

Racing Club Montevideo0:1Full timeCA Penarol Montevideo

0–0 0–1

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.

24%−3

Racing Club Montevideo

31%+2

Draw

45%+2

CA Penarol Montevideo

Racing Club Montevideo v CA Penarol Montevideo, Primera Division, played on 4 October 2026. It finished Racing Club Montevideo 0–1 CA Penarol Montevideo. At kick-off the market had CA Penarol Montevideo as favourite at 2.08 (about 45% once the margin is removed). That price shortened from 2.16 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds

2.10

▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Match resultmargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Racing Club Montevideo	3.37	3.82	3.87	3.37	▲ +13.3%	26.2%-3.5 pp
Draw	3.17	3.01	3.21	2.97	▼ -4.9%	33.2%+1.6 pp
CA Penarol Montevideo✓	2.16	2.08	2.16	2.01	▼ -3.8%	48.1%+1.9 pp

Total goalsLine 2margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Over	1.73	1.83	1.83	1.73	▲ +5.9%	54.6%-3.2 pp
Under✓	2.01	1.89	2.01	1.89	▼ -6.1%	52.9%+3.2 pp

Both teams to scoremargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Yes	2.00	2.11	2.11	2.00	▲ +5.5%	47.3%-2.6 pp
No✓	1.74	1.66	1.74	1.66	▼ -4.4%	60.2%+2.6 pp

Asian handicapLine 0.25Opening 0 → 0.25margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Racing Club Montevideo +0.25	2.11	2.04	2.11	2.04	▼ -3.5%	49.0%+1.7 pp
CA Penarol Montevideo -0.25✓	1.66	1.71	1.71	1.66	▲ +2.9%	58.5%-1.7 pp

Double chance

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Home or Draw	1.63	1.68	1.74	1.63	▲ +2.7%	59.6%-1.6 pp
Home or Away✓	1.31	1.36	1.36	1.31	▲ +3.4%	73.7%-2.5 pp
Draw or Away✓	1.29	1.23	1.29	1.22	▼ -5.1%	81.6%+4.2 pp

Draw no betmargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Racing Club Montevideo	2.37	2.37	2.37	2.37	–	42.2%
CA Penarol Montevideo✓	1.53	1.53	1.53	1.53	–	65.3%

Timeline

88'⚽goal0:1

Match statistics

0Own goals0
0Second yellow cards0

Odds movement

Market summary

In the match result market, Racing Club Montevideo opened at 3.37 and closed 3.82. The implied probability decreased from 29.7% to 26.2%. The total cards (1st half) line was 1.5; the actual total was 0, settling under.

Statistical markets vs actual result

Market	Line	Over opening / closing	Under opening / closing	Actual	Result
Total cards (1st half)	1.5	1.81 / 1.58	1.91 / 2.26	0	Under
Total corners (1st half)	4.5	2.23 / 2.31	1.60 / 1.56	–	–
Total cards	5.5(4.5)	2.31 / 1.76	1.56 / 1.97	–	–
Total corners	8.5	1.83 / 1.88	1.89 / 1.84	–	–

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