NHL3 October 2026, 23:00 UTC

Toronto Maple Leafs2:3Full timeOttawa Senators

0–1 2–1 0–1

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.

50%−6

Toronto Maple Leafs

50%+6

Ottawa Senators

Toronto Maple Leafs v Ottawa Senators, NHL, played on 3 October 2026. It finished Toronto Maple Leafs 2–3 Ottawa Senators. At kick-off the market had Toronto Maple Leafs as favourite at 1.86 (about 50% once the margin is removed). That price drifted from 1.67 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds

2.10

▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Winnermargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Toronto Maple Leafs	1.67	1.86	1.86	1.67	▲ +11.4%	53.8%-6.1 pp
Ottawa Senators✓	2.10	1.86	2.10	1.86	▼ -11.4%	53.8%+6.1 pp

Timeline

18'⚽goal0:1
20'⚽goal1:1
27'⚽goal2:1
32'⚽goal2:2
49'⚽goal2:3

Match statistics

5Number of 2 min penalty5
0Player:dst:550363:points0
0Player:fon:528915:points0

Odds movement

Market summary

In the winner market, Ottawa Senators opened at 2.10 and closed 1.86. The implied probability increased from 47.6% to 53.8%. Toronto Maple Leafs moved from 1.67 to 1.86 (59.9% → 53.8%).

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