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ChessGea, Arthur0:1Full timeDavidovich Fokina, Alejandro
1–4
Gea, Arthur v Davidovich Fokina, Alejandro, ATP 1000 Shanghai, China, played on 15 October 2026. It finished Gea, Arthur 0–1 Davidovich Fokina, Alejandro. At kick-off the market had Gea, Arthur as favourite at 1.86 (about 50% once the margin is removed). That price shortened from 1.94 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.
How to read these odds
1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.
The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.
A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.
Opening vs closing odds
| Selection | Opening | Closing | High | Low | Movement | Implied prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gea, Arthur | 1.94 | 1.86 | ▼ -4.0% | |||
| Davidovich Fokina, Alejandro | 1.79 | 1.86 | ▲ +3.9% |
| Selection | Opening | Closing | High | Low | Movement | Implied prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | 1.81 | 1.91 | ▲ +5.5% | |||
| Under | 1.91 | 1.81 | ▼ -5.2% |
| Selection | Opening | Closing | High | Low | Movement | Implied prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gea, Arthur +0.5 | 1.91 | 1.76 | ▼ -7.6% | |||
| Davidovich Fokina, Alejandro -0.5 | 1.81 | 1.97 | ▲ +8.6% |
Match statistics
- 0Double faults0
- 6Points on own serve8
- 0Win 2nd serve0
Odds movement
Market summary
In the winner market, Gea, Arthur opened at 1.94 and closed 1.86. The implied probability increased from 51.6% to 53.8%. Davidovich Fokina, Alejandro moved from 1.79 to 1.86 (55.9% → 53.8%). The total double faults line was 3.5; the actual total was 0, settling under.
Statistical markets vs actual result
| Market | Line | Over opening / closing | Under opening / closing | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total double faults | 3.5 | 1.73 / 1.73 | 2.01 / 2.01 | 0 | Under |
| Total aces | 11.5 | 1.97 / 1.97 | 1.76 / 1.76 | – | – |