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ATP 500 Tokyo, Japan

Vallejo, Daniel2:0Full timeJodar, Rafael

6–1 6–3

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.
22%+4
Vallejo, Daniel
78%−4
Jodar, Rafael

Vallejo, Daniel v Jodar, Rafael, ATP 500 Tokyo, Japan, played on 1 October 2026. It finished Vallejo, Daniel 2–0 Jodar, Rafael. At kick-off the market had Jodar, Rafael as favourite at 1.19 (about 78% once the margin is removed). That price drifted from 1.14 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds
1
2.10
▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Winnermargin 7.5%
SelectionOpeningClosingMovement
Vallejo, Daniel✓5.104.21▼ -17.5%
Jodar, Rafael1.141.19▲ +4.9%
Total gamesLine 20.5Opening 19.75 → 20.5margin 7.5%
SelectionOpeningClosingMovement
Over2.061.86▼ -9.6%
Under✓1.701.86▲ +9.5%
Game handicapLine 4.75Opening 5.25 → 4.75margin 7.5%
SelectionOpeningClosingMovement
Vallejo, Daniel +4.75✓2.211.91▼ -13.4%
Jodar, Rafael -4.751.611.81▲ +12.8%

Match statistics

  • 0Double faults2
  • 0Gamescore0

Odds movement

Market summary

In the winner market, Vallejo, Daniel opened at 5.10 and closed 4.21. The implied probability increased from 19.6% to 23.8%. Jodar, Rafael moved from 1.14 to 1.19 (87.9% → 83.8%). The total double faults line was 4.5; the actual total was 2, settling under.

Statistical markets vs actual result

MarketLineOver opening / closingUnder opening / closingActualResult
Total double faults4.52.06 / 1.971.69 / 1.762Under
Total aces6.51.76 / 1.761.97 / 1.97––

Markets (92)

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