WTA 1000 Beijing, China5 October 2026, 08:30 UTC

Ostapenko, Jelena1:2Full timeMertens, Elise

2–6 6–3 3–6

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.

37%−6

Ostapenko, Jelena

63%+6

Mertens, Elise

Ostapenko, Jelena v Mertens, Elise, WTA 1000 Beijing, China, played on 5 October 2026. It finished Ostapenko, Jelena 1–2 Mertens, Elise. At kick-off the market had Mertens, Elise as favourite at 1.47 (about 63% once the margin is removed). That price shortened from 1.61 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds

2.10

▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Winnermargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Ostapenko, Jelena	2.19	2.54	2.54	2.19	▲ +16.0%	39.3%-6.3 pp
Mertens, Elise✓	1.61	1.47	1.61	1.47	▼ -9.2%	68.2%+6.3 pp

Total gamesLine 21.75Opening 21.5 → 21.75margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Over✓	1.84	1.84	1.84	1.84	–	54.3%
Under	1.88	1.88	1.88	1.88	–	53.2%

Game handicapLine 2.75Opening 2.5 → 2.75margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Ostapenko, Jelena +2.75	1.91	1.91	1.91	1.91	–	52.3%
Mertens, Elise -2.75✓	1.81	1.81	1.81	1.81	–	55.2%

Match statistics

11Double faults7
0Gamescore0

Odds movement

Market summary

In the winner market, Ostapenko, Jelena opened at 2.19 and closed 2.54. The implied probability decreased from 45.6% to 39.3%. Mertens, Elise moved from 1.61 to 1.47 (61.9% → 68.2%). The total double faults line was 12.5; the actual total was 18, settling over.

Statistical markets vs actual result

Market	Line	Over opening / closing	Under opening / closing	Actual	Result
Total sets	2.5	2.30 / 2.30	1.56 / 1.56	–	–
Total aces	10.5	2.01 / 2.01	1.74 / 1.74	–	–
Total double faults	12.5	1.86 / 1.86	1.86 / 1.86	18	Over

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