Primera Nacional18 October 2026, 21:30 UTC

San Martin de Tucuman3:2Full timeFerrocarril Midland

0–1 3–1

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.

44%−2

San Martin de Tucuman

33%+1

Draw

23%+1

Ferrocarril Midland

San Martin de Tucuman v Ferrocarril Midland, Primera Nacional, played on 18 October 2026. It finished San Martin de Tucuman 3–2 Ferrocarril Midland. At kick-off the market had San Martin de Tucuman as favourite at 2.10 (about 44% once the margin is removed). That price drifted from 2.01 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds

2.10

▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Match resultmargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
San Martin de Tucuman✓	2.01	2.10	2.14	2.01	▲ +4.0%	47.7%-1.9 pp
Draw	2.94	2.84	2.94	2.83	▼ -3.6%	35.2%+1.3 pp
Ferrocarril Midland	4.19	4.08	4.19	3.88	▼ -2.7%	24.5%+0.7 pp

Total goalsLine 1.75Opening 1.5 → 1.75margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Over✓	1.83	1.83	1.83	1.83	–	54.6%
Under	1.89	1.89	1.89	1.89	–	52.9%

Both teams to scoremargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Yes✓	2.42	2.42	2.42	2.36	–	41.3%
No	1.51	1.51	1.54	1.51	–	66.1%

Asian handicapLine -0.25Opening 0 → -0.25margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
San Martin de Tucuman -0.25✓	1.68	1.68	1.68	1.68	–	59.5%
Ferrocarril Midland +0.25	2.08	2.08	2.08	2.08	–	48.0%

Double chance

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Home or Draw✓	1.20	1.20	1.22	1.20	▲ +0.7%	83.1%-0.6 pp
Home or Away✓	1.36	1.39	1.39	1.36	▲ +2.1%	72.0%-1.5 pp
Draw or Away	1.73	1.67	1.73	1.65	▼ -3.5%	60.0%+2.1 pp

Draw no betmargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
San Martin de Tucuman✓	1.41	1.45	1.45	1.41	▲ +2.9%	68.8%-2.0 pp
Ferrocarril Midland	2.72	2.58	2.72	2.58	▼ -5.2%	38.7%+2.0 pp

Timeline

34'▮yellow card0:1
56'⚽goal0:2
73'⇄substitution0:2
75'▮yellow card0:2
77'⚽goal1:2
84'⚽goal2:2
93'▮yellow card3:2
95'▮yellow card3:2

Match statistics

0Red cards0
64Dangerous attacks55
0Second yellow cards0

Odds movement

Market summary

In the match result market, San Martin de Tucuman opened at 2.01 and closed 2.10. The implied probability decreased from 49.7% to 47.7%.

Statistical markets vs actual result

Market	Line	Over opening / closing	Under opening / closing	Actual	Result
Total corners (1st half)	3.5(4.5)	1.62 / 1.60	2.23 / 2.23	–	–
Total corners	8.5	1.86 / 1.91	1.86 / 1.81	–	–

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