UEFA Europa League15 October 2026, 19:00 UTC

Jagiellonia Bialystok3:1Full timeFC Ararat-Armenia

2–1 1–0

How the market priced it at kick-off. Ticks mark the opening split.

66%−1

Jagiellonia Bialystok

20%

Draw

14%+1

FC Ararat-Armenia

Jagiellonia Bialystok v FC Ararat-Armenia, UEFA Europa League, played on 15 October 2026. It finished Jagiellonia Bialystok 3–1 FC Ararat-Armenia. At kick-off the market had Jagiellonia Bialystok as favourite at 1.41 (about 66% once the margin is removed). That price drifted from 1.40 at opening. Below: the opening and closing odds, how the price moved, and the match statistics.

How to read these odds

2.10

▼2.35

1, X, 2 are the home win, draw and away win. The big number is the decimal price now (or at kick-off for finished matches). Below it is the opening price: ▼ red means the price shortened, ▲ green means it drifted.

The bar splits the match between home (blue), draw (grey) and away (amber) using the implied probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. The dark ticks show where the split stood at opening.

A decimal price of 2.00 returns twice the stake and implies a 50% chance. Implied probability is 1 divided by the price. We show prices, not tips: this is a record of how the market saw each match.

Opening vs closing odds

Match resultmargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Jagiellonia Bialystok✓	1.40	1.41	1.41	1.37	▲ +0.9%	71.1%-0.6 pp
Draw	4.59	4.66	4.89	4.59	▲ +1.5%	21.5%-0.3 pp
FC Ararat-Armenia	7.12	6.69	7.25	6.53	▼ -6.0%	14.9%+0.9 pp

Total goalsLine 3Opening 2.75 → 3margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Over✓	2.03	1.89	2.03	1.89	▼ -7.2%	53.0%+3.8 pp
Under	1.72	1.84	1.84	1.72	▲ +7.1%	54.5%-3.8 pp

Both teams to scoremargin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Yes✓	1.86	1.74	1.86	1.71	▼ -6.0%	57.3%+3.5 pp
No	1.86	1.99	2.04	1.86	▲ +6.9%	50.2%-3.4 pp

Asian handicapLine -1.25margin 7.5%

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Jagiellonia Bialystok -1.25✓	1.84	1.83	1.84	1.78	▼ -0.5%	54.6%+0.3 pp
FC Ararat-Armenia +1.25	1.88	1.89	1.95	1.88	▲ +0.5%	52.9%-0.3 pp

Double chance

Selection	Opening	Closing	High	Low	Movement	Implied prob.
Home or Draw✓	1.07	1.08	1.09	1.07	▲ +1.5%	92.2%-1.4 pp
Home or Away✓	1.17	1.16	1.17	1.15	▼ -0.3%	85.9%+0.2 pp
Draw or Away	2.79	2.71	2.90	2.65	▼ -3.0%	36.9%+1.1 pp

Timeline

12'⚽goal1:1
16'⇄substitution1:1
29'▮yellow card1:1
37'⚽goal2:1
56'▮yellow card3:1
65'⇄substitution3:1
82'▮yellow card3:1
83'▮yellow card3:1

Match statistics

44Dangerous attacks49
9Shots off goal11
0Second yellow cards0

Odds movement

Statistical markets vs actual result

Market	Line	Over opening / closing	Under opening / closing	Actual	Result
Total cards (1st half)	1.5	1.87 / 1.97	1.85 / 1.76	–	–
Total offsides (1st half)	1.5	1.99 / 2.00	1.74 / 1.74	–	–
Total corners (1st half)	4.5	1.96 / 1.91	1.76 / 1.81	–	–
Total shots on target (1st half)	4.5	2.15 / 2.17	1.63 / 1.63	–	–
Total goal kicks (1st half)	7.5	1.67 / 1.68	2.08 / 2.08	5	Under
Total fouls (1st half)	11.5	1.73 / 1.74	2.00 / 2.00	–	–
Total throw-ins (1st half)	18.5	1.80 / 1.81	1.91 / 1.91	–	–
Total offsides	3.5(2.5)	2.25 / 2.26	1.58 / 1.58	–	–
Total cards	4.5	1.70 / 1.95	2.06 / 1.78	–	–
Total corners	9.5	2.00 / 1.95	1.73 / 1.78	–	–
Total shots on target	9.5	1.91 / 1.86	1.81 / 1.86	–	–
Total goal kicks	16.5	1.73 / 1.74	2.00 / 2.00	–	–
Total fouls	25.5(24.5)	2.01 / 2.01	1.73 / 1.73	–	–
Total shots	27.5	1.77 / 1.74	1.96 / 2.00	–	–
Total throw-ins	37.5	1.94 / 1.95	1.78 / 1.78	–	–

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